Tuesday, November 24, 2009

Back To Winning Ways.

Tennessee won the ball game last night taking Nutty Sports to 8 & 1 for the season. An extra bonus for any of you that backed them to win the match at odds against. In the end it was a 53 yard field goal that took it down 20-17 in yet another tight divisional match up.

Leading up to Thanksgiving you would expect the firms to be spot on with their handicap lines, they have after all had 11 regular season game weeks to get it right. This means we will likely have to search longer and harder for any edge or value and it's times like this where I will sometimes look to the money line for a bet.

I have posted the Vegas lines for week 12 below with as always my lines in brackets.

Green Bay -10 (-6.5) @ Detroit
at Dallas -13.5 (-9) Oakland
New York Giants -6.5 (-4.5) @ Denver
Miami -3 (-2.5) @ Buffalo
at New York Jets -3 (-3) Carolina
at Cincinnati -14 (-10.5) Cleveland
Indianapolis -3 (-3) @ Houston
at Atlanta -12 (-9.5) Tampa Bay
at Philadelphia -9 (-7.5) Washington
Seattle -3 (-2.5) @ St Louis
at San Diego -13.5 (9.5) Kansas
at San Francisco -3 (-2.5) Jacksonville
at Minnesota -10.5 (9.5) Chicago
at Tennessee -1 (-3) Arizona
at Baltimore -2.5 (-3) Pittsburgh
at New Orleans -3 (-3.5) New England

With 3 games on Thursday I will try and get any potential bet up by Wednesday evening. Taking a quick glance at the lines the first two games look interesting to me. Oakland managed a good win against Cincinnati last weekend whereas Dallas were awful against Washington winning 7-6. Just off the bat it appears that 13.5 points might be a lot for The Cowboys to overcome. By the same token Detroit fought back well to win 38-37 on Sunday (albeit) against Cleveland, Matthew Stafford put up some great numbers and Green Bay might find it difficult to cover a 10 point line especially considering their injury list is mounting up.

I'll be studying all the match ups in great detail so keep an eye out for a bet in the next 24 hours or so.

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