Friday, October 29, 2010

Wembeeerrlllley.

Last weeks bet could be considered fairly unlucky. With Nate Kaeding out, The Chargers picked up former Texan, Kris Brown from free agency to cover the kicking duties.

He did extremely well with the onside kick but right at the death, 23-20 down he is forced 5 yards further back for a penalty and hits the post. This was in the dying seconds and obviously meant the field goal would have taken it to overtime allowing us to collect on the overs bet regardless. Its a hard one to take but I still think we were on the right line as come game time the firms had pushed the point spread up a a couple of points.

More problems arrived this week with a bet with the Magic Sign on Saturday. 2 nice dogs came my way and I asked a mate to put on a single and a double in a local shop for me (these dogs are better done in the shop than on account).

Anyway the 1st one obliges at 7/2 and the 2nd wins at 7/4, but whats this the bookie is refusing to payout, even though the bets were placed 25 minutes before the start of the first race. Its a long and complicated story (they are even refusing to return the stake) and IBAS will i'm sure come to the rescue but until then, my advice is to use Hills or Corals if you are betting on a "dodgy" dog or two.

So i'm off to Wembley this Sunday to see the Broncos take on the 49ers. For this reason I have decided to concentrate my efforts on this match up as I'm obviously going to need to have some interest bets.

When the NFLUK agreed terms to bring these franchises to London I'm sure they did not expect the 2 teams to be 1-6 and 2-5.

Denver's last game against Oakland was well, unbelievable really, losing 59-14. Its a short week for them with a lot of travelling involved so its going to be hard to recover from such a beating.

It's not looking a lot better for the 49ers, who allowed Carolina their first victory of the season last Sunday. In Fact the only game they have won this season was a 17-9 home win against the Raiders.

There will however be some things to look forward to. In Frank Gore the 49ers have one of the best running backs in the NFL and he will be given the lion share of the ground work once again. Vernon Davis is also a top TE and has found the endzone in his last 4 outings.

Denver letting Brandon Marshall leave for Miami in the off season was a big talking point, however in Brandon Lloyd they have a reciever ranked no.1 for 20 yard+ receptions and with Kyle Orton in fine form (for the most part) we should expect a lot of decent yardage.

Knowshon Moreno has returned from injury and I was impressed with him in his rookie year last season, so I'm sure it is only a matter of time before the Broncos improve their rushing game.

So in what could be a "anything happens" game i'm going to take the Broncos on the money line, solely because they seem to offer a little more value, and lets face it they can't be as bad as last week again.

Other bets I'll be having for interest:

Denver 6/5
Vernon Davis anytime TD scorer 17/10
Frank Gore total rushing yards under 105.5 (this is way to much, some firms go 95.5)
And solely because railing the unders is awful, over 41.5 total points.

Lets hope its a great game.

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