Monday, October 12, 2009

Week 6 Lines.

I've just about managed to compile the handicap lines for week 6 and they're posted below.

at Minnesota -3.5 Baltimore
Carolina -2.5 @ Tampa Bay
at Green Bay -7.5 Detroit
Houston -3 @ Cincinnati
at Washington -6 Kansas
New York Giants -3 @ New Orleans
Jacksonville -6.5 @ St Louis
Arizona -3.5 @ Seattle
at Philadelphia -12.5 @ Oakland
at New York Jets -5.5 Buffalo
at New England -9.5 Tennesse
at Chicago -3.5 Atlanta

The game that will stand out to fans is the one in Louisianna where the 5-0 New York Giants travel to the 4-0 New Orleans Saints. This one was tough to price up. The Saints are a free throwing, high scoring team with Drew Breez pulling the strings and The Giants look the real deal with a tight D-Line and plenty of options offensively. I think Vegas will favour the home team with a line of -1.5 but I wouldn't want to give the G-Men a start and I make them 3 point favourites.

Two other games that I didn't think straightforward this week were Jacksonville at St Louis and Arizona at Seattle.
St Louis are a poor side who would struggle to cover the kitchen table let alone a handicap but Jacksonville who did have a good win in week 4 come off an absolute hiding at what appears to be a fairly average Seattle team. In the end I gave the Jags just a little less than a touchdown to overcome but wouldn't be suprised if Vegas doubled that.

So to Seattle, whose home form seems reasonable but still look a bit shaky to me. They seem to struggle against a strong O-Line and Arizona have a strong O-Line but they have not reached the heights they did in the post season last term. It's a tough call and it could go either way but for the time being I'm giving Arizona a 3.5 point edge.

I will post the Vegas Lines tomorrow and discuss any differences then as we go in search of the 4th consecutive winner!

1 comment:

  1. Favorite Line Underdog Total
    At Washington -6.5 Kansas City 37
    At Cincinnati -4.5 Houston 45
    At Pittsburgh -14 Cleveland 38
    At Minnesota -3 Baltimore 43.5
    At Jacksonville -10 St. Louis 42
    At New Orleans -3 NY Giants 47.5
    Carolina -3.5 At Tampa Bay 39.5
    At Green Bay -13.5 Detroit 48.5
    Philadelphia -14 At Oakland 40.5
    At Seattle -2.5 Arizona 47.5
    At NY Jets -10* Buffalo 37.5*
    At New England -9.5 Tennessee 43.5
    At Atlanta -3 Chicago 46
    At San Diego -4 Denver 44

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