Not a bad weekend all in all. I must start with mentioning what was a scrappy but great win for Rangers in the Old Firm Derby at Ibrox yesterday. The defending all round left a lot to be desired but two well taken goals from Kenny Miller were enough in the end.
Anyway, back to the serious business, Tampa started well leading 10-0 at half time and although Washington made a match of it scoring 16 points in the 3rd quarter they were unable to cover the 7.5 handicap leaving us with a 2nd successive winning bet. I said in the post that I made Washington 3.5 point favourites and that turned out to be pretty much on the money as the score ended 16-13. I noticed late on Sunday Blue Square took a view against the rest of the firms and went Washington -9 at 4/5. Very brave of them but perhaps they should be reading this ;o).
I also mentioned Jacksonville last week and the swing of 5.5 points between my line and that of Vegas. I had made The Jaguars 3.5 point favourites whereas Vegas gave them a 2 point start. The Jags won the game comfortably leaving The Titans at 0-4 and they really do look like a completely different franchise than last season.
Other pointers of the week - San Francisco smashed St Louis even without the injured Frank Gore and I think pricing up St Louis both on the money Line and the point spread will be tougher in weeks to come because they are so bad.
As always on a Monday morning I have compiled the point spread on the forthcoming weekend's matches. I like to get them up early so I can compare with Vegas and then the firms as and when they publish.
Week 5.
at Baltimore -5.5 Cincinatti
at Buffalo - 6 Cleveland
Pitsburgh -9.5 at Detroit
at Carolina -3.5 Washington
Dallas -7.5 at Kansas
at Philadelphia -7.5 Tampa
Minnesota -10.5 at St Louis
at New York Giants -11.5 Oakland
at San Francisco -3.5 Atlanta
Houston -2.5 at Arizona
New England -1.5 at Denver
Jacksonville -4.5 at Seattle
Indianapolis -5.5 at Tennesse
New York Jets -3.5 at Miami
As always I will be interested to see what Vegas have done. There are a few interesting games next week and one or two that I struggled with. New England at Denver is tricky. The firms always like to keep New England on their side and I'm sure they will give them a bigger handicap than I have but I like Denver so far and New England are not the force they were two season ago.
Hopefully I will have a bet in the next day or two, until then, be lucky.
Here is how i made them this week. As always this is very early doors so a lot could happen to swing things.
ReplyDeleteBaltimore -6.5
Buffalo -3
Carolina -5.5
Pittsburgh -10.5
Dallas -7.5
NY Giants -13.5
Philadelphia -12.5
Minnesota -10.5
San Francisco -2.5
Arizona -2.5
New England -1.5
Jacksonville -1.5
Indiannapolis -3.5
NY Jets -4.5
Nick
Date & Time Favorite Line Underdog Total
ReplyDelete10/11 1:00 ET Minnesota -10 At St. Louis Off
10/11 1:00 ET Dallas -7 At Kansas City Off
10/11 1:00 ET At Carolina -4 Washington 37.5
10/11 1:00 ET At Philadelphia -14 Tampa Bay Off
10/11 1:00 ET At NY Giants -15.5 Oakland Off
10/11 1:00 ET At Buffalo -6 Cleveland 39
10/11 1:00 ET At Baltimore -7.5 Cincinnati 42
10/11 1:00 ET Pittsburgh -9.5 At Detroit Off
10/11 4:05 ET At San Francisco -2.5 Atlanta 43
10/11 4:15 ET New England -3.5 At Denver 42.5
10/11 4:15 ET At Arizona -5.5 Houston 48
10/11 4:15 ET At Seattle Off Jacksonville Off
10/11 8:20 ET Indianapolis -3.5 At Tennessee 46
These are the Vegas lines
Sorry, left this one off for some reason-
ReplyDeleteNY Jets -1.5