Thursday, February 4, 2010

Superbowl!

This is a long overdue post, but I have been fairly busy and sometimes it is difficult to find the time to write but we do have the Greatest Show on Earth coming up and a few interest bets at least need placing.

I said I expected the line on New Orleans to shorten and it has in the main, pretty much all firms go +4.5 from +5.5. I won't be on it though, I can see the Saints scoring regularly but I can't see them stopping Peyton Manning who in my opinion will score at will. The Saints will put up some numbers too and that's why my first interest bet will be on the overs. The line currently is 56.6 although ToteSport go 55.5 so we'll shop there.

0.5pt Total points over 55.5 @ 10/11 ToteSport.

It's far more fun chasing the overs, at least we can hope for the game it promises to be. My next bets surround the MVP market. Manning is odds on for this and perhaps rightly so, but we can't for one minute expect that to be a value bet. Instead I am going to back two running backs at big prices. Again, these are small interest bets so no need to go mad.

First up is Reggie Bush, who had an incredible individual performance against Arizona, anything similar and he will win the award. The Saints use him regularly on all downs and he also plays a big part on Special Teams so he has every chance. Paddy Power are a stand out best price 20/1.

The other running back we will be investing in is Joseph Addai, he is the main man at Indianapolis and will also be used for receiving in the red zone. A couple of touchdowns from him could seal the award. Addai is as short as 7/1 in a place and the Magic Sign make him 9/1 but for reasons best known to themselves Paddy Power make him 25/1. Take it before they wake up from their stupor.

0.5pt Joseph Addai 25/1 MVP
0.5pt Reggie Bush 20/1 MVP both Paddy Power.

Apologies for the short post, but I am currently 4 tabling 90 man sngs on Stars. Enjoy the game, it really should be a cracker. I'll have a review up sometime next week which will include a season ROI discussion.

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