Saturday, November 21, 2009

A Monday Night Football Bet

I've been fairly busy this week so my bet has been delayed, but I have managed to put in enough research to come out with a bet that should get Nutty Sports back to winning ways.

We will have to wait until Monday night for the action as this week I am taking on the Texans with a much improved Tennesse side.

Houston come off a buy week having pushed the Indianapolis Colts very close in Week 9. We took on Tennesse in week 5 but they look a completely different side these last 3 weeks. There has been a change at Quarterback as Vince Young has replaced Kerry Collins (regular readers will recall that I suggsted that as a possibility in week 5). Vince Young threw for 210 yards last week but the real revelation at Tennesse has been Chris Johnson. Johnson has had 4 consecutive 100+ yard rushing games and topped it off with adding 100 receiving yards last week.

In their last 3 games both the Titans and Texans have beaten Buffalo and San Francisco. In these match ups The Titans have scored 74 and conceded 43. The Texans have scored 55 and conceded 31.

I think there is now some determination and belief in Tennesse after 3 wins in a row and Chris Johnson has been very vocal when declaring they will win their last 10 games. That may be a bit hopeful but it is a sign on the improvement they have made. This should be another tight divisional battle as The Titans try and close the gap on their AFC South rivals.

The Texans beat the Titans 34-31 back in September, but that was during their slump. The Titans have won 7 of the last 9 matches between the sides and boast an 11-4 record overall.

I actually think The Titans can win this match and wouldn't put anyone off a small bet at 19/10 with Paddy Power, but I'm going to take the security of a 5 point start.

1pt win Tennesse +5 @ 10/11 Paddy Power.

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