We have a bet!

I'm staying away from Tampa, one win does not justify a bet and I feel it would be too much like guessing to suggest they can keep it close against Miami who have arguably been unlucky in defeat a few times this season.

I've looked long and hard at all the games again this week and although my early lines don't support this I have decided that New Orleans will have far too much for a poor St Louis team at the Edward Jones Dome.

So far New Orleans are 6 & 2 against the spread which includes 3 & 0 on the road. I really do not put as much emphasis on home advantage as some do and in many cases the team spirit is lifted by travelling as the players feel less pressure and have more time together in the hotel creating a strong team unity.

New Orleans have battled back twice now (Miami & Carolina) and secured a lot of 2nd half points as their opponents D-Line has tired and I think The Rams defense will be very tired in the latter quarters on Sunday.

It's no suprise that the point spread is only 50 for this match up even though New Orleans have averaged 37.9 points per game and 40.3 points on the road. It's simply because St Louis who have been shut out twice (Seattle & San Francisco) have only averaged 9.6 and a slighlty better 11 points per game at home.

St Louis come off a bye week, which probably wasn't an ideal time for them because they did manage their first win in 18 games the week before, when a last minute touchdown gave them a 17-10 win against Detroit.

Rookie head coach Steve Spagnuolo (known more for defense) has no choice but to stick with QB Marc Bulger even though he has only thrown 3 touchdowns in their 8 matches so far. Compare that to Drew Brees and you can imagine the fear of Rams fans as the game approaches.

A 2 touchdown victory will be enough to cover but I think the Saints will win this game by 20+ points and I'm not concerned that they might take their foot of the gas when out of sight because Drew Brees works endlessly to improve his stats in an attempt to break more records.

In what is a tough week for punters I am certain New Orleans can take us to 8 & 0.

2pts New Orleans Saints -13.5 generally.