Sunday, December 6, 2009

Sunday Bloody Sunday.

Sunday really is the best day of the week. After a reasonable lie in and a spot of breakfast I can prepare myself for a feast of sport. Throw in a roast dinner, The X Factor and the Sunday majors on the Poker sites and I'm sure you would find it hard to disagree.

I was up until 5am this morning, although with all the sports coverage ESPN now offer in the UK it is becoming a much more frequent occurrence. The reason for my lack of sleep last night was The Ultimate Fighter 10. If you haven't seen it yet and are waiting for the repeat show you better look away now as spoilers will follow.

Kimbo Slice made his UFC debut against the explosive Alexander Houston. The MMA world expected a slug fest yet Alexander did not engage. For such a dangerous striker to avoid exchanging with Slice suggests the fighting world really does respect his power. It was also clear that Kimbo had worked very hard on his ground game and was able to dominate Alexander in the 2nd round. The judges awarded the fight to the Internet phenom and fans will be looking forward to his return.

Marcus Jones who was a 1st round pick for Tampa Bay in 1996 had his lights turned out by Matt Matrione the former Giants DT and in the final, Roy "big country" Jones knocked out another former NFL player in Brendan Schaub. All in all it was a great nights action and I am looking forward to another late one next Saturday as BJ Penn defends his lightweight title against Diego Sanchez, in what really should be an explosive match up.

Yesterday I almost suggested a bet on Olly at around 2/1 to be eliminated, anybody that had a bet is in great shape now because he is now a best price 10/11 to leave. If you follow me on Twitter you will see that I consider Simon to have forfeited Olly's chances to ensure Danyl makes the final.

On to last night's show and I'd like to start by saying that there are only two things certain in life. We will all die one day and Stacey will not win X Factor.

How much control does Simon have? For my money I think he pulls the strings every year, it is his money after all. He will not want Stacey to be the winner. How can she be? Look back at the last two winners in Alexandra Burke and Leona Lewis and Stacey has not got anything near their quality (if you doubt me listen to their performances on Youtube), she really would not sell records once her initial win had passed over. I know this, you know this and most importantly Simon knows this.

Joe has done a fantastic job with almost everything he has been given, but like Simon I do not see an international superstar when I look at Joe. Could you see him cracking America, he reminds me of Gareth Gates, remember him?

So that means it's hats off time. Simon has been right all along and that's why I backed Danyl last night to win the show at 10/1 on Betfair. Firstly I thought he was by far the best performer last night and I expect him to be again next week when he will be up against 3rd placed Stacey and then heads up with Joe.

It is a shame we will likely say goodbye to Olly tonight but I think his votes will now mostly go to the best performer on the night and that really should be Danyl. He knows he has to be on top form to survive after an early scare, he is getting his confidence back now and Simon has said all along that he is the best singer, I have to agree and bet accordingly.

A few years back nobody expected Will Young to beat Gareth Gates, but the fans did vote for the best act in the end. Danyl could appeal internationally and out of the remaining acts has probably the only chance to make it in the US which is important to Simon's bank balance.

I'm not going to recommend you back Danyl, I'm sure most people have their own favourites by now I just thought I'd tell you how I saw the show unravelling. I will be sorry to see Olly leave as an ante-post bet at 12/1 would have been nice and to be honest I rarely get these wrong so it's a shock to the system, and is a hard thing for me to accept.

I hope you enjoy your Sunday as much as I am going to enjoy mine. Go Texans!

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