X Factor - Semi Finals.

Simon Cowell has half of the acts left in this years X Factor but I cannot see how he won't lose one of them this weekend.

My feeling about Joe has been documented many times before but it does appear he is an absolute banker for the final and may well give Cheryl another winning year. Stacey, another that has not appealed to me as much as to others will also make the final, they need a girl in there and she will be an also ran on finals night.

So who to go from Olly and Danyl? Obviously we here at Nutty Towers hope that it's Danyl because our pre- live show bet on Olly at least deserves another sweat. However Simon has given Danyl a cracking couple of tracks tonight and he might just steal the show. I have said before that Simon appears to prefer Danyl and that again has become apparent.

Earlier in the week Danyl was odds on to go but 11/10 is now the best price with the firms and it's similar on the exchanges. Olly has eased slightly and is now available at 7/4 but it might be possible to get 2/1 on Betfair.

So onto tonight's songs, the theme is one Michael Jackson track and then a song of their choice. Here is what has been selected:

Stacey Solomon: The Way You Make Me Feel and You Got The Love (Florence & The Machine)

This seems to be a bit up tempo for Stacey, it's not quite a risk but she will be challenging her range in my opinion.

Danyl Johnson: Man in the Mirror and Hello (Lionel Richie)

I think these are very solid choices. I wouldn't be surprised if Simon orchestrates it for him to end the show with the Lionel Richie track which I think he will absolutely nail.

Joe McElderry: She’s Out Of My Life and The Closer I Get To You (Luther Vandross)

If the market is correct he could sing the Blobby Song and still get through. Decent choices and it does look like Cheryl really knows what she is doing.

Olly Murs: Can You Feel It and Chasing Cars (Snow Patrol)

At least we should get him back to his entertaining self with these tracks, but they aren't match winners for me.

Ideally for us Olly backers, Danyl gets eliminated tonight and then his voters may pick up the phone for Olly next week but I fear the worst.

Next week it is likely that the acts will sing with "stars" and Beyonce's performance helped Alexandra beat JLS last year so it would be a shrewd move by Simon (should Olly get through) to pair him up with Robbie Williams. At least that would give us hope.

I am tempted to recommend a bet on Olly to go this week at around 2/1 but I will leave it until after the show. In the meantime feel free to VOTE OLLY!